Apple's Endgame
So, here we are. Apple announced hardware via
internet and called everyone in for services… Was the latter part of the
presentation awkward? Yes. Could it have been planned in a more effective way?
Probably. However, we got what we got and we must understand that Apple does
not act without a plan. Here is my analysis of the true importance behind the
event this past Monday:
The Mac, the iPod, the MacBook Air, the iPhone,
the iPad, the Apple Watch these are all attempts at products to drive the business.
Some way more successful than others, they all have made what Apple is and will
continue to be today. You see, there is a commonality amongst those products…
They are not services. And THAT is exactly what Apple told the world on Monday:
services are the future.
Does this mean that it is THE END for iPhone,
Apple Watch, etc. etc.? HELL NO! It means that the market is the market! And
the iPhone is stagnating and decreasing in sales, the Mac, iPad and even Apple
Watch cannot sustain the Apple company economy, so there has to be a plan B to
be able to prepare for the future.
For the last 3 to 5 Apple Keynotes I have
commented either here on the blog or in the AppleWorm Podcast that if there is
a crazy exponential growth in Apple quarterly reports that NO ONE is talking
about enough IT IS SERVICES. Apple Music especially has proved over and over
again that people like and trust Apple in software services as much as any
other, if not more. The growth of Apple Pay, Music, Cloud, App and Mac App
Stores and even Apple News, directed them to focus on services.
Put Yourself Out of Business, before someone
else does it for you.
iPhones are nice, iPads are nice and MacBooks
are nice; and I do not believe they will just be discontinued. However, I now
know that services in the Apple way (privacy, ecosystem and ease of use) is
what will move them to the next stage of their growth.
The Apple Card showed me that they are not
afraid of getting in a business that people do not love: owing/debt. Apple Pay
paved the way, proved and implemented a SAFE mechanism for finance necessary to
implement the new service. The risk here is their approach: no fees means
higher interest rate and a variable one at that, so that late payments means
more interest gained per payment. They say they have the perfect information
presentation to the consumer to make your financial life a healthier one… Here
is the difference between theory and practice: they have experience in stats to
help with health is one thing; with finance, it is a completely different ball
game.
Apple News showed me how easily they could
setup a #1 news app to have bases to move on forward. So much so, that once
they felt the comfort to transition into adding more news outlets and
subscription options like the Magazines that are now a part of the “plus” $9.99
individual or family plan.
Apple Arcade is a tricky one; the population of
gamers around the world has many options and many GREAT options. The fact that
Apple has a billion players TODAY does not mean that will stay, grow or
disappear on its own: this is a risk that will educate them. Opening
opportunities to create and subscribe to a growing ecosystem means they have to
maintain or even elevate the level of gaming quality they already have. I think
it is a great idea in theory, let’s see it now in practice.
FINALLY, Apple TV and TV Plus showed me that in
a world of IPs and IP claims, original content could sooner than later become
currency. Apple TV and the TV app were the experiment to extend the ecosystem
and have reach into the market before going in blind and depending on other
platforms. Which by the way is the most underrated announcement in my opinion:
the TV app experience playing well with others (LG, Samsung, Sony, Roku,
Nvisio, Fire, etc.) that is amazing and necessary! This is a service much like
the gaming one; it depends on an audience-to-quality ratio.
You guys KNOW how much I support Apple, but you
also hopefully have learned that I can accept my bias and understand the other
side and see the validity in reasonable criticism towards Apple and their
business, not haters and bullies. So in theory Apples Endgame makes sense to
me, the keynote proved to me that they are willing to look at themselves and
bet on the future even when they are the present. Let’s see where this bet takes
them.